The week of 6 Jul – 12 Jul 2026
Every read we stood behind that week, and what the market did next.
This week's scorecard
These calls were retired, not scored. They were made before we published a forecast horizon, so we would have been judging them by a rule they never saw. The track record explains the reset — and starts from the first honestly-dated call.
- Mon, Jul 6Sideways · 50%retired
Bitcoin consolidates amid persistent ETF outflows
Market sentiment remains constrained by negative ETF flow streaks and macro concerns regarding AI-driven systemic risks.
- Tue, Jul 7Sideways · 55%retired
Bitcoin Consolidates Below Key Resistance
Bitcoin is experiencing a temporary pause after failing to clear the $64,000 threshold, with market participants weighing positive ETF flows against broader macroeconomic headwinds.
- Wed, Jul 8Sideways · 55%retired
Regulatory shifts and ETF flows anchor market
The market is balancing regulatory headwinds against positive structural developments, keeping prices in a tight holding pattern anchored around Bitcoin's current levels.
- Sat, Jul 11Sideways · 55%retired
Regulatory shifts and ETF inflows stabilize market
The market is balancing institutional support from positive weekly ETF inflows against a cautious retail sentiment, while legislative clarity on CBDCs removes a layer of regulatory uncertainty.
- Sun, Jul 12Sideways · 55%retired
Crypto Holds Steady Despite Hedera Exploit
While the market sentiment remains cautious, steady institutional inflows are successfully counteracting localized decentralized finance exploits, keeping the major assets range-bound.
Probabilistic analysis, not financial advice.